Experts: Verizon to win 700 MHz auction; if so, "Can You Hear Me Now?" must live up to its promises

verizonIf Verizon Wireless is truly the winner of the FCC’s 700 MHz spectrum auction, as many industry experts now believe, the No. 2 U.S. wireless carrier must live up to its promises.

Promise: On Dec. 4, Verizon said it would support the Google-led Open Handset Alliance. By doing so, Verizon, a notoriously protective carrier known for its iron-fisted rule over the devices and software applications running on its network, said it would support the open network initiative.

Promise: At the same time, Verizon said it would support the Google-powered open-source mobile operating system Android. By doing so, Verizon said it was willing to allow phones from any manufacturer — even those using the Android platform — to run on its network as long as they meet Verizon quality specifications.

Promise (and one it can’t worm out of): If Verizon does win the C block in the 700 MHz spectrum auction, it must — as a stipulation set forth in pre-auction rules — open the new network to any phone running any software.

Forbes speculates that “analysts believe Verizon — thought to be the only bidder besides Google that is both rich and motivated enough — is poised to win the coveted C block of spectrum that Google has been eyeing.”

verizon logo“Verizon wants more spectrum to close the gap between it and AT&T,” Stifel Nicolaus analyst Rebecca Arbogast said to Forbes, noting that Verizon owns 49 megahertz of spectrum to AT&T’s 75 megahertz. “I’m reasonably confident that Google does not have the spectrum now.”

And maybe this is the best for everybody — carriers, manufacturers, third-party developers, and consumers in the U.S. If Verizon lives up to its promises.

Verizon, the “Can You Hear Me Now?” carrier, certainly knows how to build a nationwide wireless network. It has the experience, know how, resources, man power, and desire to do so as it seeks to surpass AT&T as the country’s No. 1 carrier.

Verizon’s main competitor for the spectrum, believed to be Google (the auction bidding is anonymous), has never built a nationwide wireless network and does not have the experience, know how, or man power to do so without a capital intensive ramp-up, although it may have the financial resources to do so.

google wirelessIf Verizon wins, it and Google both win. Verizon has more spectrum to compete with AT&T in building the next-generation wireless network. Google wins because it is not saddled with the capital-intensive burden of building that network (estimated to be at least $5 billion a year for many years), or working with a partner or partners to have it built.

Google has what it sought much of last year: a promise from the FCC that the winner of the spectrum will open up its network to any phone, any application, from any manufacturer.

Google would be free to negotiate with all the carriers — Verizon, Sprint Nextel, and T-Mobile all support the OHA, and AT&T says it’s always been open — to bring Google-powered phones to their networks. One can bet these phones will feature Google mobile applications, search, and advertising, the core of its Internet empire.

Now we, as consumers, must hope that Verizon will live up to its promises and that change and innovation will come to the stale U.S. wireless industry. We don’t need another 10 to 20 years of the same old, same old Verizon vs. AT&T rivalry.

last100 is edited by Steve O'Hear. Aside from founding last100, Steve is co-founder and CEO of Beepl and a freelance journalist who has written for numerous publications, including TechCrunch, The Guardian, ZDNet, ReadWriteWeb and Macworld, and also wrote and directed the Silicon Valley documentary, In Search of the Valley. See his full profile and disclosure of his industry affiliations.

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